I have looked at some closed down washes and some others that might as well be closed down. Some of these washes, even if purchase at a low multiple, have limited income opportunity operated the way they are. I recently looked at a wash that sold for 900K back in 2005. It currently has a 50K gross. The bank wanted around 260K for. Upon crunching the numbers it got ugly if revenue didn't drastically improve: 7K property tax bill, 3K insurance, 8K electrical, 8K water/sewer, and 10K labor. Don't forget your variable expenses of chemicals, supplies, and repairs. If I paid cash and had no note at existing numbers I could net maybe 1000 per month for my efforts. It would not cash flow if financed. That doesn't exactly scream "deal of the decade". There might be some upside opportunity, but with express five minutes away in either direction I don't anticipate the businesses to do much better than they are now without some serious revamping and a lot of patience.
Here in my metro area, expresses abound and for good reason. Once a customer becomes accustomed to that format: the speed, quality,value and low hassle there is little reason for them to come back to a SS. Here, it's cold in the winter and hot in the Summer. Plus, it cost more than a express tunnel to wash here. Sure, there are some niche items that can't be washed in a tunnel but that never comprised a large percentage of my business and is often the crap that isn't as profitable and I really don't want to deal with. I admit I might be leaving a little money on the table but I don't think it's enough to make a radical change in my bottom line.
The market to sell SSs in the future will be restricted. Bay revenues in my area are flat or going down and expenses are rising, reducing margins. New investors are almost exclusively looking at express washes here in the hopes that they will strike gold if they get lucky. Hopefully the property value of my SSs will exceed the cost of what i purchased the business for one day.
I guess for anyone looking to purchase they should ask themselves if they think the business is a healthy business model with anticipation of growth. Many of you guys, especially the ones is rural areas, seem to still be doing well. The best performing self serves I know of right now are not in metro areas, but small towns with limited competition. If these SS are in small towns they may still have some income generating ability left.