According to some industry trackers, the days of relatively inexpensive fuel, energy and food are over. Somer analysts expect that baby-boomers will see gas prices hit $7.00 to $10.00 before its all over.
Even when the economy begins to grow again, consumers will need to make major lifestyle adjustments. For example, buying more fuel efficient vehicles, living closer to work, letting the kids ride the school bus, becoming better shoppers in terms of extracting more value, making less shoppng trips, shopping closer to home, etc.
Geography will also play a larger role in how well carwash operators will fair in the future. For example, if you operate in Tampa Bay, Florida, the prospects are grim. Pinellas County has become second only to Broward County in Florida population loss. Last year, jobs and salary levels went no where. Unemployment rose by 1.5%, tourism dropped by 2.5%, home sales dropped by 25% (only 1,100 building permits and over 8,000 foreclosures) and property values tanked by over 16% (still falling). Once the land of the frugal, the cost of living in Pinellas has soared in recent years due to skyrocketing property taxes, insurance and rents. On the other hand, if you operate in, say, Wake County, N.C., the propects are a lot better; net migration 25,900 persons; rising property values (14,200 building permits and only several hundred foreclosures); 1.5% increase in jobs; and the average wage is $12,000 higher than Pinellas.
Quite frankly, the vast majority of the carwash market in Pinellas is 25 years behind the times. Over coming $5 or $6 gasoline is going to call for operators to make major changes in way they conduct business. If your market sounds like Pinellas, expect the same.
Bob Roman
www.carwashplan.com